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How (NOT) to buy mutual funds
When it comes to mutual funds, there is a lot more to success
than just finding a good one. Sad investment stories like the following
are all too common. I hope my sharing it with you will help you avoid
making the same devastating financial mistake one of my former clients
made.
This story begins during the height of the investment madness in 2000,
just prior to the bear market. I had been managing an IRA account for
"Bob" for around six years, with a better than average record
of success. So I was surprised when Bob sheepishly called in July, 2000
to let me know he was transferring his IRA account, which had done particularly
well during our latest Buy cycle going into the year 2000.
However, his tax preparer, a long time personal friend of Bob's wife’s,
was now also offering investment services, having recently received his
Registered Representative’s license.
Fast forward to the end of September. It had become increasingly clear
to me that the Bull market had run its course. So, in accordance with
the Sell signal from our trend tracking methodology, we sold all of our
mutual fund positions on October 13, 2000 and went 100% into money market.
(See my article “How we eluded the Bear in 2000” at http://www.successful-investment.com/articles12.htm).
From our safe haven we watched the market crash and burn, causing most
other investors to sustain double digit losses eventually reaching as
high as 50 - 60% of their assets.
In 2002 Bob unexpectedly stopped by my office. As it turned out, things
had not gone well at all with his IRA investments. As most advisors would
have done, his tax preparer/advisor had quickly moved all of Bob’s
assets into a variety of “load funds.”
Of course, being newly licensed he was clueless (as were many licensed
advisors) as to market behavior or analysis of any kind. The end result
was that Bob’s portfolio lost in excess of 50% over the next 2 years.
(Not to gloat, but my clients' losses in the same period were non-existent.)
Unfortunately, the degree of loss Bob sustained was experienced by many
investors who did not follow a disciplined and methodical approach.
What I find particularly distasteful is that Bob's tax preparer misused
his position of trust. He made financial decisions that he was not qualified
to make, though his license implied that he did know enough to make them.
So now we know what a piece of paper is worth.
This is no different than letting a newly graduated medical student with
a fresh MD behind his name perform heart surgery. Or, hiring a new MBA
grad to Chief Financial Officer of a Fortune 500 company. Yet the financial
services industry allows someone to get a license (after a fairly short
course) and to immediately start making incredibly important and far reaching
financial decisions for anyone he or she can sell their service to.
This is a worrisome trend in this industry. A CPA friend confirmed that
he has been approached many times by firms wanting him to offer investment
services.
Why? It’s easy money! Accountants and tax professionals have a
great business base. They are in a unique position of trust, because of
the information their clients disclose to them. Whether they are employed
by a company or they maintain an individual practice, there is probably
no other person (other than your spouse) who knows as many intimate details
of your financial life as your accountant/tax preparer.
To abuse this trust for personal gain—no matter how noble the motive
may appear—is a total conflict of interest and a huge betrayal.
The bear market of 2000 has shown that investing must be a disciplined
endeavor. Even most professionals have failed to recognize this. What
busy accountant, in the middle of tax season, can put the necessary time
and attention to a volatile investment market that may require action
at a moment's notice?
As for Bob, he’s still with his accountant, and in the same investments
that brought his portfolio down. He’s hoping for a miracle recovery.
As of this writing, the stock market is engaged in something of an upswing
and Bob, I'm sure, is getting his hopes up that he will recover some of
his losses. However, I shudder to think that this rally may come to an
end and the bear market resumes. Where will Bob be then?
At 58 years old Bob is still playing Russian roulette with his retirement.
He's apparently unable to make a decision to move to someone who has the
ability to make sense of market trends and the discipline to follow the
signals they communicate. This is a decision that will have a profound
affect on his financial future—and will determine whether his story
has a happy or sad ending.
About the author
Ulli Niemann is an investment advisor and has been writing about objective,
methodical approaches to investing for over 10 years. He eluded the
bear market of 2000 and has helped countless of people make better
investment decisions. To find out more about his approach and his
FREE Newsletter, please visit: www.successful-investment.com.
ulli@successful-investment.com
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